Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.155438 0.177126 0.201253 0.230171 0.264006 0.302479 0.349734
2025-12-14 0.120390 0.148901 0.183788 0.230009 0.290218 0.366792 0.472834
2025-12-21 0.099743 0.130797 0.171504 0.229588 0.311672 0.425572 0.599233
2025-12-28 0.087670 0.120479 0.165946 0.234904 0.339250 0.495264 0.754102
2026-01-04 0.078147 0.111644 0.160272 0.237944 0.362607 0.561626 0.917806
2026-01-11 0.070756 0.104551 0.155646 0.241091 0.385688 0.630768 1.101456
2026-01-18 0.065429 0.099692 0.153460 0.247280 0.414145 0.713568 1.329416
2026-01-25 0.059968 0.093843 0.148760 0.248256 0.433263 0.782865 1.548874
2026-02-01 0.055141 0.088393 0.143917 0.248038 0.449792 0.850000 1.781433
2026-02-08 0.050630 0.082936 0.138334 0.245526 0.461240 0.908883 2.011767
2026-02-15 0.046615 0.077887 0.132840 0.242304 0.470534 0.964798 2.251004
2026-02-22 0.044302 0.075576 0.131970 0.247822 0.498717 1.067796 2.640564
2026-03-01 0.040910 0.071039 0.126582 0.243771 0.506100 1.125881 2.933566
2026-03-08 0.038494 0.068080 0.123888 0.244961 0.525605 1.218088 3.358879
2026-03-15 0.036171 0.065068 0.120754 0.244755 0.541825 1.305892 3.805198
2026-03-22 0.034691 0.063533 0.120378 0.250527 0.573554 1.442640 4.467947
2026-03-29 0.033096 0.061613 0.118997 0.253810 0.599666 1.570622 5.158688
2026-04-05 0.031645 0.059847 0.117745 0.257203 0.626743 1.708760 5.954502
2026-04-12 0.030583 0.058776 0.117855 0.263875 0.664052 1.888790 7.012951
2026-04-19 0.029153 0.056811 0.115805 0.264927 0.685863 2.025698 7.965012
2026-04-26 0.027742 0.054766 0.113376 0.264692 0.703980 2.155830 8.963992
2026-05-03 0.026269 0.052469 0.110154 0.261984 0.714256 2.261997 9.913375
2026-05-10 0.024860 0.050205 0.106803 0.258511 0.721629 2.360344 10.888395